יום שלישי, 25 באוגוסט 2009

Yemen A Microcosmos of the Middle East

Far away from the eyes of the world a war is rumbling in the northern areas of Yemen. From first look, it might see as a fight between the Yemen government and rubles group living in the northern areas, especially in the Sa'dah province. However, it actually much more than that, the local war in Sa'dah is a microcosmos of what is happening in the entire Middle East today.

The fight in Yemen started in 2004 placed from one side the Yemeni government, a Sunni government supported by Saudi Arabia, and from the otter side, The Shabab al-Muomineen a Shi'a rebel's group supported by Iran. Although both countries reject such interference in the fights, weapons from both were founded in the battle zone.

Yemen is a prefect test ground to see exactly what going on in the entire Middle East. The demographics of Yemen represent the demographics of the Middle East. 75-70 percentage of the country is Sunni 25-30 Shi'a and a minority of Jews and Christians. Iran and Saudi Arabia know that, and both know the outcome in Yemen can affect the future of the Middle East. If the Shi'a rebels can defeat the government they will give a push to other Shi'a minority group in otter Arabs Sunni countries. And specialty will give Iran a push against her big rival Saudi Arabia. On the other hand, Saudi Arabia knows that the Yemen government has to win in order to restrain Iran's goal to become the regional power.

Of course like any other affair in the Middle East. Israel has to be in the middle, while the two Muslim sides fight each other. Israel's secret services slowly smuggler Jews from the battle zones into Israel. While Christian's refuges escaping to the west for a chance of a better life, what is acutely happening in almost any other Arab country these days.

In the last few weeks the military operations in Sa'dah worsen as both sides saying they are on the verge of victory, so we have to take a close look and see the outcome. Maybe this little place in the southern edge of the Arabian Peninsula can predict the future of the Middle East.


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